AMTI Director Gregory Poling discusses the implications of Philippine president Rodrigo Duterte's relationship with Donald Trump, its impact on the U.S.-PH alliance and maritime security, the fallout from Duterte’s drug war, and the decisions facing both sides.
If the Philippine military is conscripted into Rodrigo Duterte's drug war and participates in extra-judicial killings, congressional regulations could force the United States to suspend military aid and training to the units involved, a potentially devastating impact on the bilateral military relationship.
A critical and early Chinese test of U.S. resolve is likely to come in the South China Sea, where Washington has struggled to respond effectively to assertive Chinese behavior.
The surprising election of Donald Trump has raised hopes for a less fraught relationship between Washington and Manila in the near future.
Key agreements and relationships remain in place for a U.S.-Philippine alliance reset under the incoming Donald Trump administration, but there are reasons to be skeptical about whether the relationship can be put back on an upward trajectory.
The Philippines’ newly minted president couldn’t have asked for a more high-profile diplomatic debut when he attended this week’s Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Summit, which saw the participation of the leaders from across the Asia Pacific, including the United States, Japan, China, Russia, and India, along with the secretary-general of the United Nations. […]
U.S. security and diplomacy trends in Asia mark an uncertain future.
U.S. and Vietnam build trust, sending a strong deterrence signal to China.
U.S.-Philippine security cooperation will combat China’s maritime expansion in the South China Sea
Undersea drones are the newcomers to planned U.S. force posture in the Asia-Pacific, though seemingly not tipping the balance toward offensive action